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Date: April 29, 2024 Mon

Time: 9:40 pm

Results for risk perceptions

2 results found

Author: Loughran, Thomas

Title: 'A Good Man Always Knows His Limitations': Overconfidence in Criminal Offending

Summary: Traditional criminological research in the area of rational choice and crime decisions places a strong emphasis on offenders’ perceptions of risk associated with various crimes. Yet, this literature has thus far generally neglected the role of individual overconfidence in both the formation of subjective risk perceptions and the association between risk and crime. In other types of high risk behaviors which serve as analogs to crime, including stock trading and uncertain business and investment decisions, overconfidence is shown to have a stimulating effect on an individuals’ willingness to engage in these behaviors. Using data from two separate samples, this paper explores the prevalence of overconfidence in offending risk perceptions for a variety of crime types, and, in one sample serious offending juveniles, attempts to link overconfidence to a higher likelihood of offending. Our results show that overconfidence is both highly prevalent in risk perceptions across samples, and it is highly associated with higher rates of offending, even when controlling for risk. We also outline several theoretical issues for future research on this topic, including its relationship to self-serving bias and Bayesian updating.

Details: New York: Columbia Law School, 2011. 43p.

Source: Internet Resource: Columbia Public Law Research Paper No. 11-264; Accessed March 11, 2011 at: http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1772185

Year: 2011

Country: United States

URL: http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1772185

Shelf Number: 120972

Keywords:
Deterrence
Offenders
Risk Perceptions

Author: Carnegie, Jon A.

Title: Customer Perceptions of Transit Security

Summary: The objectives of this research were to: a) examine the extent to which NJ TRANSIT (NJT) security measures provide customers with a sense of overall security/comfort when using the system; b) identify which security measures appear to enhance customer perceptions of safety and what measures could further enhance customer perceptions of security; and c) examine what elements of a transit security public awareness campaign might resonate most with NJT customers. Observations from the focus groups conducted for this study provide insights into how NJT customers perceive transit security and how well they understand the role they play in transit security equation. The focus groups also shed light on which security measures are visible to customers and which measures apparently help to make them feel safe. Finally the focus groups confirm that NJT customers seem to be well aware of expectations regarding the need to be aware of suspicious activity or objects and are familiar with the “See Something, Say Something” campaign used by MTA and the Port Authority However, there was significant confusion regarding how and when to report suspicious activity/objects, especially with regard to what phone number to call. The study concludes that it would be beneficial for NJT to work closely with New York Metropolitan Transportation Authority (MTA), the Port Authority, AMTRAK and other transit providers operating in the metropolitan region to ensure security initiatives being undertaken by each agency, at a minimum, are coordinated with each other. Further NJT should explore the potential for implementing joint public awareness campaigns with shared slogans, imagery and media strategies. Cooperating agencies should consider creating a universal reporting procedure and phone number that can be used across geographic and institutional boundaries to eliminate unnecessary customer confusion regarding when and who to call to report security concerns.

Details: New Brunswick, NJ: Alan M. Voorhees Transportation Center, Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey, 2010. 67p.

Source: FHWA-NJ-2010-08: Internet Resource: Accessed on January 29, 2012 at

Year: 2010

Country: United States

URL:

Shelf Number: 123872

Keywords:
Risk Perceptions
Transit Safety
Transit Security